Megatons of TNT to Megawatt Hour

One megaton equals 4.184 × 10¹⁵ joules — the energy of burning about 120 million liters of petrol or the total electricity output of a large power plant running for 50 days. A 1-megaton airburst would flatten reinforced concrete buildings within 2 km, cause third-degree burns at 10 km, and break windows at 40+ km. It is roughly 67 times the Hiroshima bomb.

The Soviet AN602 "Tsar Bomba," detonated on 30 October 1961, yielded approximately 50 megatons — the largest human-made explosion in history. It was a three-stage thermonuclear device originally designed for 100 Mt but scaled down by replacing the uranium tamper with lead to reduce fallout. The fireball was 8 km wide, and the mushroom cloud rose 67 km. It was a propaganda weapon with no practical military use.

Modern strategic warheads are smaller than Cold War designs because accuracy improved. The US W88 yields about 0.475 Mt; the W76-1 about 0.1 Mt. Russian RS-28 Sarmat MIRVs carry warheads estimated at 0.5–0.8 Mt each. Military planners found that several smaller warheads (MIRVs) destroy more area than one large one due to the cube-root scaling of blast radius with yield.

The Chicxulub impact that ended the dinosaurs released roughly 100 million megatons (10²³ J). The Tunguska event (1908) was 3–15 megatons. NASA's planetary defense threshold is objects capable of 1+ megatons of damage. A 50-meter iron asteroid striking Earth at 20 km/s would release about 10 megatons — enough to obliterate a major city.

Accuracy replaced raw yield. A 0.5 Mt warhead landing within 100 meters of a target destroys it just as effectively as a 10 Mt warhead landing 1 km away. MIRVed missiles carrying 6–10 smaller warheads also cover more total area than one massive bomb. The US retired its last megaton-class warhead (the B83) in 2022, relying entirely on sub-megaton weapons.

MWh is the natural unit for grid-scale transactions because power plants and large industrial loads operate in the megawatt range. Quoting in kWh would produce unwieldy numbers — a 1 GW nuclear plant generates 24,000 MWh/day, not 24,000,000 kWh. Spot markets like the US PJM or European EPEX quote prices in $/MWh or €/MWh, typically $20–$80/MWh in normal conditions.

One MWh powers the average US home for about 1.1 months (since the average is 886 kWh/month). In Europe, where consumption is lower (~300 kWh/month), one MWh can cover about 3.3 months. A single MWh is also enough energy to drive an electric car about 5,000–6,000 km, or to run an industrial air compressor for roughly 4 hours.

US wholesale prices typically range from $20 to $80/MWh depending on region, time of day, and fuel costs. European prices are generally higher at €50–€150/MWh. During extreme events — heat waves, supply shortages — prices can spike above $1,000/MWh for brief periods. Negative prices (below $0/MWh) also occur when wind or solar oversupply the grid.

A modern onshore 3 MW turbine at 35% capacity factor produces about 9,200 MWh/year. A large offshore 15 MW turbine at 50% capacity factor generates roughly 65,700 MWh/year. Capacity factor — the percentage of theoretical maximum output actually achieved — varies with wind resource, turbine technology, and maintenance downtime.

Current lithium-ion battery costs (~$150–250/kWh) make 4-hour systems economical for peak shaving and solar time-shifting, but 24-hour storage would cost 6× more with diminishing returns. Grids instead layer solutions: batteries handle the evening peak (4 h), gas turbines cover overnight baseload, and pumped hydro or compressed air provide longer-duration backup. Iron-air and flow batteries are emerging for 100+ hour storage at lower cost per kWh, potentially closing the gap by the 2030s.